Drake -10.5 VS UIC

2 units

Getting a great price on the Bulldogs at home here. One of the Bulldog’s three losses was on the road against UIC, which makes this a great revenge spot. The Flames haven’t covered the spread in 5 straight games and now have to go on the road against the top team in the MVC. Drake is so much better than UIC it’s shocking to me that they lost the first go around. Drake has a +12.85 net rating compared to UICs’ +1.89, Drake has a true shooting percentage of 60.2% and are projected to win the turnover battle against the Flame. In their first meeting the flame shot 57% from the field and won the turnover battle, both marks that I expect to go in drakes favor on the road. I also just love this Drake team with new head coach Ben McCollum making the jump from D2 to to D1 and seeing immediate success.

Nebraska -1 @ Penn state

1 unit

The wheels have fallen off for Penn State, with a record of 1-9 in their last 10. Nebraska has started to pick it up recently, going 5-1 In their last 6 with key wins over Oregon and Ohio State in that stretch. I respect anyone who takes Penn State here because I certainly don’t have the balls to back them. Penn State’s entire offense revolves around getting to the charity stripe and Nebraska leads the big ten in free throw attempt rate allowed. This stretch of wins has surged Nebraska up in KenPom rakings now having a +17.57 net rating which ranks 37th in the country while Penn state at +10.57 ranks at 77th (which to be fair is a better mark than their record suggests) Hard for me not to take the better team with a hot hand a good matchup.

St.Thomas Vs. South Dakota Over 176

THIS TOTAL IS SO HIGH!!!!

Actually, I have to take the over when I see a total this high. I’m sorry. Their last matchup had a final score of 119-104 without overtime. The (outdated now) ven diagram above shows how efficient St.Thomas is making them one of my favorite teams to bet on.

POINTS POINTS POINTS