
George Mason -12.5 Vs La Salle
Bounce back spot for Mason after a rough road loss to Duquesne. La Salle grades out as the worst team in the A-10 with a relative rating of -6.0, they also have the worst kill-shot margin in the conference with -0.29. I don’t know if La Salle will be able to score against this Patriot defense. They have the second-best defensive rating in the conference (behind VCU, who are just on a completely different level than the rest of the conference. This will be a tough matchup for La Salle because they rank as the worst offense in the conference with a -4.4 o rate. La Salle is 344th in fg% while the patriots are 2nd in fg% allowed. La Salle also just cant cover the spread on the road with a record of 3-11 ATS on the road.

Xavier -3.5 @ Butler
I seem to never get these big East games right, so I’d tail with caution, but I think Xavier is just the significantly better team here. It does scare me that this is their second meeting in two games, but I still expect a similar result as their first matchup (Xavier’s 13-point victory). Butler has the second-worst defense in the Big East, and Xavier is tied for 3rd best. They dominated the turnover battle in the first game 20-9, which probably will even out a little bit on the road this time, but they should still win the battle by a sizable margin. Xavier has been red hot not losing a game in nearly a month and I dont think Butler will be the team to end that streak

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