Iowa +7 Vs Purdue

Iowa on the road: bad. Iowa at home: good. In this game, Iowa happens to be home, meaning they will be good (see above). Iowa did lose Owen Freeman for the rest of the season, which makes their already bad defense even worse but, I expect this Iowa offense to keep them in the game against Purdue as they rarely turn the ball over (10th in the nation in turnover rate) and are extremely efficient (4th in effective field goal %). As I mentioned before Iowa is much better at home than on the road with 11 of their 13 wins being at home. Purdue did not look good at home against Indiana and its a tall ask for them to shake that off and cover this number on the road.

Wisconsin -9 Vs Indiana

This is Indiana’s second game on the road against a ranked team in a row. A bit of heartbreak for IU as it seemed like they had Purdue right where they wanted but just couldn’t pull it out. This Indiana team hasn’t shown me anything all season for me to think they can cover the spread in back-to-back ranked road games. Their offense doesn’t rank in the top 70 in any actually meaningful stat, and their defense is even worse. I have 0 confidence in Mike Woodson to rally his guy to play Wisconsin even remotely close. Wisconsin is excellent from behind the arc making 10 of them a game. IU lost by 25 on the road to Iowa who is similarly good behind the arc but has half the defense Wisconsin has.

2/4/25 recap (BAD BAD NOT GOOD)

Colgate -3.5 ❌